Thursday, August 22, 2013

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Stable Long-Term Rates, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Transport/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.82 -7.03%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.15 +.80%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.24 +.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.73 -9.50%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 +21.62%
  • Total Put/Call .80 -17.53%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 -36.83% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.47 -3.40%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 144.06 -3.90%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 85.50 +.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 334.31 -2.23%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.0 +.25 bp
  • TED Spread 24.25 +1.0 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 -.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 250.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.70/Metric Tonne -.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 34.30 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -26.40 +5.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 -4 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +220 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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