Friday, August 23, 2013

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Falling Long-Term Rates, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Commodity/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.25 -3.47%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.69 +.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.73 -2.63%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.27 -1.26%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 +17.39%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -2.50%
  • NYSE Arms .90 -4.84% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.12 -1.83%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 140.57 -2.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 85.50 unch.
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 322.66 -1.67%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.50 +.5 bp
  • TED Spread 24.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.5 +.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 244.0 -6 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $138.60/Metric Tonne +.65%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 28.50 -5.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -24.60 +1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 +2 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +65 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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