Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Fed Statements, Higher Long-Term Rates, Gaming/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.30 -1.52%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.85 +.27%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.97 +.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.93 -1.38%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 151.0 -3.82%
  • Total Put/Call .75 +1.35%
  • NYSE Arms .80 -.10% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.64 +.74%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.38 -.84%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 47.89 -.95%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 96.37 +.10%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 319.06 +1.02%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 389.44 +2.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -1.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 18.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% unch.
  • Yield Curve 234.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $110.50/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -34.80 -1.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.10 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +119 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -35 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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