Monday, March 31, 2014

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Diminished Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Central Bank Hopes, Quarter-End Window-Dressing, Biotech/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.80 -4.23%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.06 +.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.55 -1.95%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.52 -2.25%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 -23.05%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -2.04%
  • NYSE Arms .96 +26.71% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.36 -1.66%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.62 -2.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 45.90 -3.03%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 90.30 -2.40%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 293.37 -2.29%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 362.75 -2.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 230.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $116.80/Metric Tonne +4.01%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.60 -3.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.70 -2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +35 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +37 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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