Tuesday, August 05, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine/Mideast Tensions, Surging Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Energy/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.70 +10.45%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.18 -.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.82 +3.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.23 +8.37%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 106.0 +17.78%
  • Total Put/Call 1.10 -5.17%
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +111.64% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.25 +3.77%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.67 -2.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 36.78 +1.27%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 72.87 +.03%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 292.54 +5.73%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 312.48 +.49%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 202.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $95.50/Metric Tonne +.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -6.20 +6.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.7 -2.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -125 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -96 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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