Friday, August 08, 2014

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Diminished Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Short-Covering, Bargain-Hunting, Utility/Homebuilder Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.75 -5.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.90 +.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.05 -2.08%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.14 -2.56%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 -21.28%
  • Total Put/Call 1.08 +6.93%
  • NYSE Arms .83 -58.01% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.09 -3.74%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.51 -3.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 39.0 -2.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 76.59 -.31%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 295.55 -.59%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 321.92 +1.38%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 +1.75 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 198.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $95.70/Metric Tonne -.31%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.0 +.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.9 +3.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +180 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +55 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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