Monday, August 11, 2014

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Yen Weakness, Tech/Alt Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.21 -9.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.75 -.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.87 -2.0%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.55 -5.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 +28.40%
  • Total Put/Call .72 -32.71%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 +72.01% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.62 -3.09%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.62 -6.70%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 36.84 -5.54%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 75.08 -2.11%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 285.30 -3.34%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 322.18 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 199.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $95.30/Metric Tonne -.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 4.10 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.0 -.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +45 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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