Thursday, January 12, 2017

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Financial/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.52 +2.31%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.12 -.32%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.42 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.50 +.98%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 -25.56%
  • Total Put/Call 1.03 +22.62%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 -12.51%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.12 +.83%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 426.0 +.21%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.16 +1.04%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.49 +.21%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.03 -1.10%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 237.02 -.46%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.82 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.25 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -42.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.11 +.78%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .51% unch.
  • Yield Curve 118.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.99/Metric Tonne +.72%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 41.50 +1.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 75.60 +4.5 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 37.80 +7.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.0 unch.
  • 27.8% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 40.6% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +90 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +45 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +40 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my in my retail/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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