Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlook Concerns, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Homebuilding/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.88 +8.4%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.02 +.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.74 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.95 -.27%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 -15.6%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 -.93%
  • NYSE Arms 1.37 -6.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.50 +1.60%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 413.0 -.45%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.32 +.88%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.67 -6.03%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.91 -2.76%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 236.83 +.06%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.50 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.50 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 52.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.25 +3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.78 +.25%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .51% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 124.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $83.34/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.80 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 55.30 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 37.10 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.06 -1.0 basis point
  • 32.9% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 46.3% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -59 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +56 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my in my biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: