Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Oil Gain, Financial/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.53 -1.95%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.53 +.56%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.67 -.93%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.52 -3.24%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 +16.5%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -8.6%
  • NYSE Arms 1.01 -43.41%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.44 -1.36%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 431.0 -8.5%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.07 -2.35%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.44 +8.6%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.28 -1.93%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 236.35 -.56%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.26 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 30.75 -2.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 53.50 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -37.25 +2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.51 -.03%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 127.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $82.69/Metric Tonne +1.92%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.40 +10.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 58.20 +.3 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.60 +2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.05 +3.0 basis points
  • 33.1% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 49.4% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +300 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +8 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +34 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my in my retail/tech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: