Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Tax Reform Worries, Less Economic Optimism, Yen Strength, Energy/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.89 +11.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.77 -.54%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.11 -.12%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 21.91 +18.7%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 165.0 +65.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.04 +17.0%
  • NYSE Arms .73 -47.53%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.96 -.15%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 395.0 +6.18%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 53.28 +.63%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.95 +2.07%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.93 +.38%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 193.90 +.01%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.33 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.75 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.5 -3.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -47.75 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.32 unch.
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.25% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 64.75 -4.25 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.84/Metric Tonne -2.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.50 -1.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.30 -.6 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.80 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +88 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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