Friday, November 17, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking,Technical Selling,Yen Strength, Transport/Healthcare Provider Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.46 -2.55%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.88 -.59%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.92 -2.33%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 16.30 -15.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 +8.4%
  • Total Put/Call .76 -33.6%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -21.59%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 55.09 -.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 379.0 -2.53%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.03 -2.30%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.91 -1.76%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.87 -1.31%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 186.86 unch.
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.33 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.50 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 17.0 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -48.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.94 +.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.27% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 62.5 -2.75 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.61/Metric Tonne +.02%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 56.0 +11.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 58.90 -.7 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.50 +1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -59 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -3 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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