Friday, October 26, 2018

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Fed Rate-Hike Worries, Earnings Jitters, Tech/Telecom Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 24.93 +2.93%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.66 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.03 +.91%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.18 +10.5%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 -26.27%
  • Total Put/Call 1.18 +13.5%
  • NYSE Arms .97 +7.78%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.33 +1.33%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 477.0 +3.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 95.33 +.78%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 309.5 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 10.26 +3.22%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 203.35 +.57%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 150.22 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 19.25 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -46.0 -1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.72 +.20%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.32% unch.
  • Yield Curve 27.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 73.30 USD/Metric Tonne -.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -3.5 +1.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -42.3 +1.0 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.10 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.07 +2.0 basis points
  • 69.4% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 19th meeting, 70.2% chance at Jan. 30th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +111 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +52 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/medical/retail/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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