Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 69.75 -.5 basis point
  • China Sovereign CDS 49.75 +.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 68.38 -.06%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.74%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.13%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.15%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (ABB)/.33
  • (BUD)/.96
  • (CARS)/.57
  • (FSS)/.31
  • (FRO)/.18
  • (ICPT)/-2.49
  • (JCP)/.18
  • (PRTY)/1.09
  • (PDCO)/.38
  • (BID)/1.48
  • (JD)/-.27
After the Close:
  • (DDD)/.07
  • (ALRM)/.24
  • (ADSK)/.42
  • (DELL)/1.85
  • (GPS)/.69
  • (MAR)/1.40
  • (JWN)/1.42
  • (NTNX)/-.25
  • (SPLK)/.76
  • (SRCL)/.95
  • (VMW)/1.88
  • (WDAY)/.32
  • (ZS)/-.01
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 220K versus 216K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1737K versus 1725K prior 
  • Advance 4Q GDP QoQ is estimated to rise +2.2% versus a +3.4% gain in 3Q.
  • Advance 4Q Personal Consumption is estimated to rise +3.0% versus a +3.5% gain in 3Q.
  • Advance 4Q GDP Price Index is estimated to rise +1.7% versus a +1.8% gain in 3Q.
  • Advance 4Q Core PCE QoQ is estimated to rise +1.6% versus a +1.6% gain in 3Q.
9:45 am EST
  • Chicago Purchasing Manager for February is estimated to rise to 57.5 versus 56.7 in January.
11:00 am EST
  • The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index for Feb. is estimated to rise to 6.0 versus 5.0 in January.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone CPI report, China Manufacturing PMI report, Japan Unemployment Rate/CPI reports, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, Keefe Bruyette Woods Cards/Payments/Financial Tech symposium,  (CR) investor day, (WAT) investor day and the (PGR) 4Q Investor Event could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by consumer and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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