Thursday, April 25, 2019

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Diminished "Medicare-For-All" Fears, Technical Buying, Medical/Biotech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.84 -2.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.10 -.7%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.49 +2.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 35.1 -1.46%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 +42.42%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -2.3%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 -31.8%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.30 +.85%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 443.0 -.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.29 +3.23%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 269.75 +5.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 65.03 +1.95%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 194.42 -1.24%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 161.74 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.25 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 16.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.39 -.27%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 2.42% unch.
  • Yield Curve 20.75 +.5 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 88.68 USD/Metric Tonne +.50%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -68.80 -3.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -39.10 -.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.2 -6.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.98 +2.0 basis points
  • 21.8% chance of Fed rate cut at June 19th meeting, 28.2% chance of cut at July 31st meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -62 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -147 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +45 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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