Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:          
  • Asian Stocks Set for Mixed Start; Treasuries Drop: Markets Wrap. Asian stocks were mixed as investors weighed the recent rally in risk assets alongside evidence of a U.S. economic recovery and lingering concern over further coronavirus outbreaks. The dollar steadied following gains. Japanese shares gave back a sliver of their surge of more than 4% on Tuesday and Korean equities slipped, while those in Australia edged higher. S&P 500 futures swung in early Wednesday trading after U.S. equities closed higher. Treasury yields kept this week’s gains. Data showed U.S. retail sales jumped by the most on record and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the U.S. economy may be bottoming out but still has a long way to go before it reverses the substantial damage done by the pandemic. Futures on the S&P 500 Index advanced 0.1% as of 9:01 a.m. in Tokyo. The index rose 1.9% on Tuesday. Japan’s Topix index fell 0.1%. South Korea’s Kospi index slid 0.2%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.2%.
Zero Hedge:
The Epoch Times:
John Hopkins University:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.5% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.25 -3.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 47.75 -2.25 points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.77 -.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.14%
  • S&P 500 futures -.02%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.01%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (ABM)/.29
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Building Permits for May is estimated to rise to 1250K versus 1074K in April.
  • Housing Starts for May is estimated to rise to 1100K versus 891K in April.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +1,604,640 barrels versus a +5,720,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -971,800 barrels versus a +866,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +2,047,200 barrels versus a +1,568,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.52% versus a +1.3% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Powell testimony to House, UK inflation data report, 30Y T-Bond auction and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and transport shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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