Thursday, June 05, 2025

Friday Watch

Around X:
  • @ZeroHedge
  • @MarioNawful  
  • @LauraLoomer 
  • @TheTranscript 
  • Broadcom double beat. CEO: "Broadcom's record first quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA were driven by both AI semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software." $AVGO: -1.3% AH. 
  • $AVGO CEO: "Q1 AI revenue grew 77% Y/Y to $4.1B & infrastructure software revenue grew 47% Y/Y to $6.7B. We expect continued strength in AI semiconductor revenue of $4.4B in Q2, as hyperscale partners continue to invest in AI XPUs & connectivity solutions for AI data centers."
  • DocuSign double beat. $DOCU: -14% AH.
  • @WallStreetApes
  • @glennbeck
  • @WarClandestine
  • My understanding of the OBBB situation: The bill has lots of things that advance Trump’s agenda, like tax cuts, finishing the wall, etc., but there is a lot of pork added in by Congress. However, it’s a budget reconciliation bill, so we only need 50 votes as opposed to 60 in the Senate, so Trump and his team are willing to let Congress get their pork, so long as Trump is able to pass what is needed to advance his agenda. Elon doesn’t like the extra pork and wants to slim it down, and Trump just wants to get his bill passed so he can fix pressing problems. I can see both sides of the argument.
Quot
  • @rawsalerts
  • @bennyjohnson 
  • @C_3C_3
  • Elon is 100% about America’s debt. Trump is 100% about DC being a Swamp. The Swamp won’t cut debt because they get rich making debt. Trump has to run America through the Swamp. If Congress was full of Elons it would be easy but it’s full of Swamp Creatures. DC sucks. Facts.
  • Bill Clinton right now with the Democrats calling for the Epstein Client List to be released. (pic)
  • I know everything about Mohamed Soliman in 3 days. I know nothing about Thomas Crooks in 326 days. How can that be?
  • @realannapaulina
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average. 
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 76.0 -1.0 basis point. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 49.5 -.5 basis point.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 95.6 USD/Metric Tonne +.8%.
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.75 -.01%.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 37.2 -.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 69.1 +.7%.
  • US 10-Year Yield 4.39% +2.0 basis points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.0 +.3%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.26%. 
  • S&P 500 futures +.18%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.02%.
Morning Preview Links

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by consumer discretionary and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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