Wednesday, January 09, 2008

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
- Mortgage applications in the US jumped last week, led by a surge in refinancing as long-term interest rates fell to the lowest level in two years.
- Countrywide Financial Corp.(CFC) said home loans in December were a better-than-forecast $24 billion. “Our fourth quarter ended with a number of positive operational trends,” President and COO Sambol said.
- Crude oil is unch., falling more than $1 bbl. from session highs, on worries over slowing demand, a rising dollar and rising gasoline supplies.
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President William Poole said risks to economic growth are more “uncertain” than inflation.

- QLogic Corp., whose computer-networking storage products are used by Hewlett-Packard(HPQ) and Sun Microsytems(JAVA), rose the most since October in US trading after sales and earnings exceeded its forecast.
- DuPont Co.(DD) climbed the most in five years in NY trading after it said profit gained last year and that 2008 earnings will be higher than previously forecast.

Wall Street Journal:
- Key Union May Back Obama Run.
- Faced with recession fears, the White House is considering tax rebates for individuals to encourage spending and tax breaks for businesses to encourage investment.

- SEC Provides Incentive For Mortgage Companies To Renegotiate Loans.
- NYSE Euronext(NYX) is the frontrunner to acquire the American Stock Exchange. A deal may be announced as soon as this month that values the exchange at $350 million.

NY Times:
- Clinton’s Emotional Moment May Have Won Over Voters.

Washingtonpost.com:
- New York Presses To Deploy More Bioweapons Sensors.

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:

Small-cap Growth (-.9%)

Sector Underperformers:

Coal (-4.88%), Construction (-4.51%) and Airlines (-4.53%)

Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:

PZE, CYT, NFP, CTL, CMI, WCBO, HELE, VRUS, LYTS, GRMN, AKNS, VSAT, ASTE, LOOP, ISIS, CBEY, AIXG, ADVS, UEIC, SIRF, EPAY, NCT, TIE and AIXG

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:

Large-cap Growth(+.92%)

Sector Outperformers:

Drugs (+1.62%), Computer Hardware (+1.48%) and Software (+1.24%)

Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:

RBN, RC, TXI, TNE, PPDI, APOL, REXX, SUNH, PRFT, QLGC, SFLY, CPLA, GHDX, CVCO, BMRN, MATK, FWRD, SHPGY, OSIP, PERY, ZUMZ, ULTA, NILE, ICFI, ROS, CHA, AZN, MYL, REP, SFD, BMA, PSA and UTX

Economic Releases

- None of note

Links of Interest

Market Snapshot Commentary
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories

IBD Breaking News

Movers & Shakers

Upgrades/Downgrades

In Play

NYSE Unusual Volume

NASDAQ Unusual Volume

Hot Spots

Option Dragon

NASDAQ 100 Heatmap

DJIA Quick Charts

Chart Toppers

Intraday Chart/Quote

Dow Jones Hedge Fund Indexes

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Wednesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Alliant Techsystems(ATK), the only supplier of solid-rocket motors for US space shuttles, will buy a unit of Canada’s MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates Ltd. for $1.32 billion to build complete satellite systems.
- Bear Stearns Cos.’(BSC) James “Jimmy” Cayne handed over the CEO role to his hand-picked successor, staying on as chairman as the firm tries to recover from the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.

Wall Street Journal:
- McCain, Clinton Win Primary; White House Race Is Wide Open.

MarketWatch.com:
- Corporate insiders continue to be bullish on their firms’ stock.

BusinessWeek.com:
- Playing the 2008 Election.

USA Today.com:
- Colleges serve up job hopefuls as hotels’ hiring needs jump.

Reuters:
- Bear Stearns(BSC) may become takeover target amid unrest.
- Hynix sees DRAM rebound in 2008.

TimesOnline:
- Shell and Total are vying to develop a huge gasfield in what was Iraq’s most violent province as a source for exports to Europe.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:

- Maintain Buy on (FORM), target $44.

Lehman Brothers:
- Upgraded (AUO) to Overweight.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.50% to +.25% on average.
S&P 500 futures +.26%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.34%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Movers
Top 25 Stories

Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (MOS)/.73
- (SGR)/.49
- (RT)/-.20
- (VOXX)/.35
- (AA)/.34
- (RBN)/.67
- (ETP)/.49
- (TONS)/.95
- (WDFC)/.38

Upcoming Splits
- None of note

Economic Releases
10:30 am EST

- Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of 2,100,000 barrels versus a 4,056,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline inventories are expected to rise by 1,600,000 barrels versus a 1,985,000 barrel rise the prior week. Distillate supplies are expected to rise by 1,000,000 barrels versus a 569,000 increase the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise .1% versus a 1.29% gain the prior week.

Other Potential Market Movers
- The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report, (VFC) analyst meeting, JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, Consumer Electronics Show, Needham Growth Conference and Citigroup Entertainment Conference could also impact trading today.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by automaker and technology stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.