Tuesday, December 20, 2005

Wednesday Watch

Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Chevron said hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico that shut oil wells and the company’s biggest refinery probably cut fourth-quarter profit by more than $600 million.
- Crude oil in NY is little changed, after rising yesterday for the first day in five, on expectations a US government report will show supplies dropped.
- Billionaire investor Kirk Kerkorian, GM’s third-biggest shareholder, sold almost a fifth of his 9.9% stake in the company after the investment lost one-third of its value.
- Time Warner agreed to sell Google a stake in AOL to help revive the Web unit’s sales.
- Calpine, the US power plant owner saddled with more than $17 billion in debt, filed for bankruptcy protection after soaring natural gas prices left it unable to make loan and bond payments.
- Citigroup is leading a bid of at least $2.7 billion for 85% of Guangdong Development Bank, the first state-owned Chinese lender to offer investors a majority stake.

Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Goldman Sachs:
- Reiterated Outperform on TYC and GOOG.

Night Trading
Asian Indices are +.50% to +1.0% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.09%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.18%.

Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule

Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
BBBY/.45
BMET/.43
KMX/.212
CMC/1.18
FDO/.31
FDX/1.40
MLHR/.39
JOYG/.45
MU/.11
PAYX/.29
RHAT/.09

Upcoming Splits
- None of note

Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- Final 3Q GDP is estimated at 4.3% versus prior estimates of 4.3%.
- Final 3Q Personal Consumption is estimated at 4.2% versus prior estimates of 4.2%.
- The Final GDP Price Index is estimated at 3.0% versus prior estimates of 3.0%.

BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by exporters in the region after the US dollar rose. I expect US equities to open mixed and to trade modestly higher into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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