Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Stocks Dropping into Final Hour on US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Concerns, Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.64 +6.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.18 +.16%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.53 -1.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.52 +2.94%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 132.0 +76.0%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +2.27%
  • NYSE Arms 1.72 +75.84% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.04 +1.79%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 137.78 +1.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 78.0 -1.27%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 290.03 +1.56%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 20.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.50 -3.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +2 basis points
  • Yield Curve 225.0 -3 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.70/Metric Tonne +.23%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 43.70 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .70 -2.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 -3 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -60 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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