Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Deal, Lower Long-Term Rates, Short-Covering, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.51 -18.81%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.29 +.57%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.80 -1.35%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.34 -16.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .96 -4.0%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -29.94% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.85 -4.21%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 120.35 -.30%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 70.0 -4.1%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 262.66 -2.0%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.50 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.50 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% unch.
  • Yield Curve 234.0 -3 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $133.70/Metric Tonne +.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 26.80 -4.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.20 +1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19 -2 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +213 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short, added to my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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