Monday, October 07, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on US Debt Ceiling/Govt Shutdown Worries, Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Financial/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.69 +11.65%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.18 -.39%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.77 -.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.87 +12.35%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 80.0 -13.04%
  • Total Put/Call .90 +3.45%
  • NYSE Arms .92 +24.03% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.95 +2.94%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 135.88 -.03%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 79.0 -4.43%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 285.43 -.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 228.0 -4 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.40/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.0 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.80 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +32 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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