Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlook Worries, Global Growth Fears, European/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Tech/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.17 -.41%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.32 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.38 +2.44%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.59 -.75%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +1.15%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -11.83%
  • NYSE Arms .97 -7.22% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.14 +2.37%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,526.0 -.35%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.43 +2.48%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.37 +5.94%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.01 +1.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 304.68 +1.82%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.42 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.5 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch
  • Yield Curve 162.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.76/Metric Tonne -.65%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.3 +.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.7 -.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.9 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.81 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.24 +.05
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +44 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -303 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +14 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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