Thursday, July 23, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst and Transport/Utilities Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.84 +5.94%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.26 +.52%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.77 +4.53%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.08 +2.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 +2.17%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +10.59%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 +19.21% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.94 +2.18%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,600.0 +4.85%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.19-.35%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.80 -2.57%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.44 +.73%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 315.57 +3.25%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.63 +.17%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 158.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.72/Metric Tonne -.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.0 +5.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.6 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.1 +.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.77 -4.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.21 -.03
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -134 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -163 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -62 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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