Friday, July 10, 2015

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Greece Debt Deal Hopes, China Bounce, Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Drug/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.36 -13.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.83 +2.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.87 -3.06%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.88 -5.42%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 -10.2%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -17.09%
  • NYSE Arms .86 +8.92% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.86 -5.37%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,261.0 -.80%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.43 -13.37%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.25 -17.09%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.92 -2.91%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 300.99 -3.12%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.24 +.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.5 +2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 176.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $50.10/Metric Tonne +2.27%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -21.8 +1.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -3.9 +2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -19.50 -2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 +3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 7.43 -.44
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +331 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -366 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +55 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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