Monday, July 20, 2015

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Earnings Optimism, Investor Performance Angst, Restaurant/Drug Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.05 +.84%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.59 +.16%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.30 +2.22%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.64 +.62%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +39.58%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +9.52%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 -17.79% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.58 +.42%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,516.0 +1.30%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 66.46 -2.59%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.49 -3.76%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 57.22 -.87%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 300.73 +1.50%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.35 +.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.25 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 167.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $52.39/Metric Tonne +3.41%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.8 +3.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 5.5 +4.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.10 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.83 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.56 -.27
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +189 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -344 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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