Thursday, October 01, 2015

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Bargain-Hunting, Road&Rail/Homebuilder Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 23.35 -4.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.10 +.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.20 -1.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.69 -4.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +8.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +25.0%
  • NYSE Arms .96 +122.54% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 95.21 +1.72%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,085.0 -1.41%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 95.62 +1.38%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.17 -1.40%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 90.03 -.68%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 382.11 -1.0%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.65 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.5 +1.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.50 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.63 -.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 139.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.04/Metric Tonne -.50%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.30 -1.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 31.60 -1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.60 +4.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.46 +4.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.55 -.30
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -32 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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