Friday, October 16, 2015

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Buyout Speculation, Oil Bounce, Healthcare/REIT Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.32 +1.68%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.95 +.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.0 -.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.60 +3.70%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +11.39%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -24.55%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 +1.19 +29.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 82.43 -.80%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,048.0 +.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 77.75 -2.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.24 -1.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 74.58 -1.01%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 327.82 -.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.51 +.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.5 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.39 -.29%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 142.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.74/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.80 +3.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.1 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.70 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.49 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.89 -.68
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +68 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +110 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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