Friday, October 23, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Earnings Optimism, Diminished Global Growth Fears, Healthcare/Technology Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.35 -.69%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.62 -.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.83 +1.21%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.09 -4.56%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +8.65%
  • Total Put/Call .81 -10.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.04 -5.36% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.50 -3.81%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,074.0 +9.93%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.69 -5.0%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.82 -1.75%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.70 -3.54%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 323.95 -1.49%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.99 +.16%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.0 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.13 -.29%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 144.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.62/Metric Tonne -1.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -.1 +5.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 22.2 +13.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.40 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.52 +4.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.68 +.35
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +385 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +258 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +48 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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