Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Concerns, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Transport/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.75 +3.01%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.82%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.87 -.91%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.29 +3.17%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 163.0 +21.64%
  • Total Put/Call 1.10 +13.4%
  • NYSE Arms .95 -18.87% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 78.65 +1.13%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,107.0 +4.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.97 +1.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.81 +.03%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.99 +2.91%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 326.85 +1.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 122.26 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.5 +2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.83 -.43%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 141.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.50/Metric Tonne +.92%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -10.10 -2.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.1 -2.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.50 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.49 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.40 -.05
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +108 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -46 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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