Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Earnings Outlook Worries, Biotech/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.3 +6.99%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.48 +.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.32 +1.98%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.46 +3.98%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0 -11.02%
  • Total Put/Call .84 -8.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.75 -5.43% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.24 +2.64%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,014.0 +1.55%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.25 +1.60%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.01 -2.72%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.32 +3.09%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 341.22 +3.19%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.94 +.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.0 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.64 -.90%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 143.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $54.97/Metric Tonne -2.90%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.10 +.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.0 -2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.20 +1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.52 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.40 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -8 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -23 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -32 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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