Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, Political Worries, Earnings Outlook Concerns, Homebuilding/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.99 +1.75%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.28 -.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.33 -.53%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.78 +1.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 85.0 -5.56%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +3.37%
  • NYSE Arms .80 -53.86% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.72 +1.60%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,043.0 +4.36%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 80.96 +2.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.06 +5.25%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 80.44 -1.12%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 342.83 -.81%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.0 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.50 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 +2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.02 +.66%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 143.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.12/Metric Tonne +.27%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -26.70 -2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.0 unch.
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.40 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.50 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.78 +.38
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +2 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +1 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +7 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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