Friday, December 11, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially Midday on Surging European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Emerging Markets Currency Fears, Oil Decline, Financial/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.36 +15.62%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.01 +.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.92 n/a
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.1 +1.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 41.0 -34.92%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -18.03%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 +75.91
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 91.98 +4.60%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,574.0 +.99%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.0 +7.75%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.83 +2.37%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 77.52 +6.04%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 354.60 +3.64%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.44 -.15%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -36.50 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.11 -.77%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .22% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 125.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $38.30/Metric Tonne -.57%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.30 +1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 17.30 +1.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.60 +3.7 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.50 -3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) .88 n/a
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -460 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -289 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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