Wednesday, December 09, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Oil Reversal, Tech/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.46 +10.57%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.68 -.21%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.60 -.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 58.71 +1.07%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 -36.19%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -21.62%
  • NYSE Arms .59 -55.39
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 86.11 +.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,587.0 +7.25%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.33 +2.0%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 16.53 -1.20%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.63 +.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 344.82 -.25%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.88 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.75 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -32.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.94 +.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .24% -3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 130.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $39.08/Metric Tonne +1.11%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.40 +1.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 16.60 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 11.10 +.1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.55 -4.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) .92 -.20
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -300 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -284 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -100 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

No comments: