Monday, April 04, 2016

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Fears, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Homebuilding/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.0 +6.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.29 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.75 +1.03%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.45 +.93%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 109.0 +9.0%
  • Total Put/Call .93 -2.11%
  • NYSE Arms .83 +3.22% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.91 +.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,477.0 +5.43%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.88 -.27%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.87 -.4%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.58 -.82%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 292.20 +1.05%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 126.90 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 38.5 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.37 -.26%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .20% unch.
  • Yield Curve 103.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $54.80/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -6.10 -.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -22.30 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.40 +3.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.65% +1.0 basis point
  • 25.5% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 35.7% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +45 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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