Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil decline, Earnings Outlook Worries, Gaming/Airline Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.94 +4.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 129.28 -.30%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.65 -.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.57 +.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 -15.66%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 +21.84%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 +40.75% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.57 +.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,014.0 -3.82%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.38 -5.92%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.43 -3.24%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.60 -1.82%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 281.73 +3.06%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.16 -.16%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 41.0 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.91 -.65%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .23% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 106.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $70.46/Metric Tonne +8.78%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.50 -.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -13.70 +.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 15.0 -.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.64% unch.
  • 19.6% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 33.8% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -74 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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