Friday, April 15, 2016

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Worries, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.83 +.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.29 -.35%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.35 +.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.07 +1.18%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 85.0 +4.94%
  • Total Put/Call .71 -15.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.21 +21.58% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.60 +1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,263.0 +.34%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.60 +1.28%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.94 +1.24%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.64 +1.5%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 290.77 +3.16%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.35 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 41.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.65 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .22% unch.
  • Yield Curve 102.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.28/Metric Tonne -1.85%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -12.20 -4.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -25.30 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 18.9 +5.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.56% -1.0 basis point
  • 13.4% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 25.1% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -193 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -13 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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