Friday, June 29, 2018

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Less European Debt Angst, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.3 -9.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.67 +1.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.81 -1.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.42 +3.31%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 -5.71%
  • Total Put/Call 1.19 -8.46%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 -23.89%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.03 -1.49%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 398.0 -.87%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.96 -4.21%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 237.75 -8.25 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.0 +1.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 191.32 +.98%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 147.79 -.64%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 42.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.54 +.26%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.91% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 31.75 -.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 64.40 USD/Metric Tonne -.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -4.90 -2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -61.0 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.70 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 unch.
  • 77.3% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 26th meeting, 77.9% chance at November 8th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -19 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -89 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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