Monday, November 26, 2018

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:       
  • Asia Stocks Post Muted Gains; Treasuries Steady. Stocks in Asia eked out modest gains Tuesday after beaten-down tech shares led the strongest session for U.S. stocks in two weeks. The dollar steadied alongside Treasuries as President Donald Trump discussed plans for further China tariff increases in the absence of a trade deal. Equity benchmarks rose in Japan and Australia, and futures in Hong Kong pointed higher, while U.S. contracts slipped. Apple Inc. suppliers will be closely watched after Trump said the company’s iPhones could be hit by new tariffs. Earlier, the S&P 500 Index recovered from the worst week in a month as investors speculated a strong start to the holiday season will keep U.S. economic growth on track. West Texas crude traded above $51 a barrel, after recouping some of Friday’s 7 percent plus slide. Japan’s Topix index rose 0.5 percent as of 9:12 a.m. in Tokyo. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 0.1 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index added 0.1 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index futures rose 0.2 percent. S&P 500 futures fell 0.4 percent.  
Wall St. Journal:
CNBC:         
Zero Hedge:     
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 96.25 -1.5 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 10.25 -.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.93 +.04%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +1.31%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.32%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.45%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (CBRL)/1.91
  • (EV)/.83
  • (HIBB)/.16
After the Close:
  • (CENT)/.09
  • (NTNX)/-.27
  • (CRM)/.50
Economic Releases
9:00 am EST
  • The FHFA House Price Index MoM for September is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.3% gain in August.
  • The S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM for September is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.09% gain in August.
10:00 am EST
  • The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November is estimated to fall to 135.8 versus 137.0 in October.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Bostic speaking, Fed's George speaking, Fed's Evans speaking, MS Senate Run-Off Election, Eurozone Consumer Confidence report, weekly US retail sales reports, $40B 5Y T-Note auction, Jefferies Energy Conference, BofA Merrill Consumer/Retail Conference, Scotiabank Mining Conference, CSFB Industrials Conference, (UNH) investor conference, (ALK) investor day and the Piper Jaffray Healthcare Conference could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are modestly higher, boosted by technology and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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