Thursday, February 27, 2020

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -3.0% to -2.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 61.75 +5.25 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 46.5 +5.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  63.68 +.02%.
  • FTSE 100 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.22%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.23%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (AES)/.33
  • (CYOU)/.58
  • (FL)/1.58
  • (SOHU)/-.40
  • (SUP)/-.29
  • (W)/-2.62
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • Advance Goods Trade Balance for Jan. is estimated at -$68.5B versus -$68.3B in Dec.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a -.2% decline in Dec. 
  • Retail Inventories MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.2% versus unch. in Dec.
  • Personal Income for Jan. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.2% gain in Dec.
  • Personal Spending for Jan. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in Dec.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in Dec.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German Unemployment Rate report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are sharply lower, weighed down by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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