Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Stocks Finish Lower on Coronavirus Fears, Earnings Jitters, Global Growth Worries, Transport/Financial Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.8 +8.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 123.06 -.39%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.52 +1.4%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.89 +6.10%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 113.0 +31
  • Total Put/Call .79 -3.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 -18.18%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 44.6 +.83%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 634.0 +.44%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 47.13 +1.04%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.25 +3.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 49.18 -1.12%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 189.66 -2.32%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 170.48 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 2.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 12.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 64.79 -.37%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.57% unch.
  • Yield Curve .15 -2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 86.22 USD/Metric Tonne +1.32%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.80 -.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -29.9 -7.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 20.7 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.67 unch.
  • 28.4% chance of Fed April 29th meeting, 49.4% chance of cut at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +6 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -79 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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