Thursday, September 30, 2021

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -1.5% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.5 -2.0 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 46.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 58.68 unch. 
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 2,699.0 -145.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 23.3 -1.6%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.34%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.24%
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.28%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Personal Income for Aug. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +1.1% gain in July.
  • Personal Spending for Aug. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.3% gain in July. 
  • The PCE Core MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.3% gain in July.
10:00 am EST
  • Construction Spending MoM for Aug. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in July.
  • ISM Manufacturing for Sept. is estimated to fall to 59.5 versus 59.9 in Aug.
  • ISM Prices Paid for Sept. is estimated to fall to 78.5 versus 79.4 in Aug.
Afternoon:
  • Wards Total Vehicle Sales for Sept. is estimated to fall to 13.0M versus 13.06M in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Manufacturing PMI report and the Eurozone PMI report could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by commodity and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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