Wednesday, October 19, 2022

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -1.0% to -.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 196.25 -2.5 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 111.75 +4.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 46.15 -.25%   
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 49.0 +.8%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -1.02 +1.0 basis point.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 30.6 +.5%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures -.28%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.56%  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (ABB)/.36
  • (ALK)/2.39
  • (AAL)/.56
  • (T)/.62
  • (BKU)/1.04
  • (BX)/.99
  • (DHR)/2.25
  • (DOW)/1.17
  • (FITB)/.98
  • (FCX)/.27
  • (GPC)/2.05
  • (HTLD)/.31
  • (KEY)/.59
  • (MAN)/2.17
  • (NUE)/6.42
  • (PM)/1.36
  • (POOL)/4.61
  • (DGX)/2.18
  • (SNA)/3.86
  • (TSCO)/2.07
  • (UNP)/3.07
After the Close:
  • (BJRI)/-.28
  • (SAM)/3.17
  • (CSX)/.50
  • (RHI)/1.65
  • (SNAP)/-.01
  • (SIVB)/7.01
  • (THC)/1.22
  • (WHR)/5.35
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Philly Fed Business Outlook for Oct. is estimated to rise to -5.0 versus -9.9 in Sept.
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 232K versus 228K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 1380K versus 1368K prior.
10:00 am EST
  • Existing Home Sales for Sept. is estimated to fall to 4.7M versus 4.8M in Aug.
  • The Leading Index for Sept. is estimated to fall -.3% versus a -.3% decline in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Jefferson speaking, Fed's Cook speaking, Fed's Bowman speaking, Eurozone PPI report, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, (WU) investor day and the (ORCL) financial analysts meeting could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are modestly lower, weighed down by consumer and financial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% Net Long heading into the day.

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