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| S&P 500 6,597.7 -1.8% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 45,666.4 -2.3%
- NASDAQ 22,382.1 -1.8%
- Russell 2000 2,412.67 -2.6%
- NYSE FANG+ 16,021.6 -.6%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 264.4 -1.1%
- Wilshire 5000 65,194.8 -1.8%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,665.4 -1.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,972.9 -2.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 869.61 +.7%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 249.5 -2.3%
- NYSE Technology 7,137.1 -2.2%
- Transports 15,093.9 -4.4%
- Utilities 1,143.6 +1.8%
- MSCI Europe Banks 98.3 -2.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 51.79 -4.0%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 242.59 +.84%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 126.04 -.78%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 580,674 -.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.0 -24.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 745 -650
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -12.4 n/a
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 102,958 n/a
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,936,690 n/a
- Total Put/Call .89 +14.1%
- OEX Put/Call 1.10 +.2%
- ISE Sentiment 179.0 +22.0
- NYSE Arms 1.14 -8.3%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 81.4 -4.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .67 +2.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.31 -18.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 20.9 +23.4%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 2.2 +233.5%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 17.8 +24.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.73 +8.0%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.64 +4.2%
- Smart Money Flow Index 24,194.6 +.5%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 84.6 -1.6
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.385 Trillion +.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$0.000 Million
- AAII % Bulls 45.9 +7.0%
- AAII % Bears 35.6 -9.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 34.0 (FEAR from NEUTRAL) -19.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 299.33 +.34%
- Crude Oil 58.86/bbl. -2.7%
- Reformulated Gasoline 182.1 -1.8%
- Natural Gas 3.11 -7.3%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.2 euros/megawatt-hour +1.7%
- Heating Oil 220.4 -1.1%
- Newcastle Coal 106.25 (1,000/metric ton) -.4%
- Gold 3,995.5 +2.6%
- Silver 49.97 +4.3%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 502.7 +1.8%
- Copper 491.7 -3.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 350.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.9%
- China Iron Ore Spot 105.9 USD/Metric Tonne +2.1
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 10,325.0 USD/metric tonne n/a
- CME Lumber 611.0 -.8%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,324.89 -2.2%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 330.0 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.8% unch.
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 37.3 -.5 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.42 +2.1%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 340.37 +11.0%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 2.0 -16.5%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $214.0 Billion($1,329.19 Savings Per Taxpayer) +$8.0B
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(23 of 500 reporting) +9.7% -2.7 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 294.89 +.78: Growth Rate +12.7% +.3 percentage point, P/E 22.8 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.49% -1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 478.50 +1.52: Growth Rate +17.8% +.4 percentage point, P/E 34.4 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.9 -2.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -5.2 -12.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 4.2 -3.7 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 96.7%(-1.1 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.75-4.0%, 3.3%(+1.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.25-4.5% on 10/29
- US Dollar Index 99.04 +1.4%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,843.1 -.12%
- Bitcoin/USD 117,716.5 -4.2%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 199.25 +1.8%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.91 +.8%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 53.0 -1.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.05% -6.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.543 Trillion +.07%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $5.622 Billion -24.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.8 +.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 207.7 +3.6%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 82.0 +1.0 basis point
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.24 +2.5%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.97 +13.7%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 159.1 +17.4%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 69.9 -10.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.5 +4.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.3434 -.54%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 125.69 +.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.5% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.87% unch.: CPI YoY +2.99% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.62 -8.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.32 -2.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread -23.0 basis points +.75 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -22.5 -.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 -5.5 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.4 +5.7%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 199.0 -.2%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 198.0 -26.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 62.90 +7.5%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 135.3 +4.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 156.5 +7.6%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 124.0 +4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 603.0 +2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .54 +3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.8% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,347.2B +.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 237,500 n/a
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% n/a
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.3 +2.3%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.40% +2.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 323,100 -4.7%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.1% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +16.0% +5.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $102.6M +2.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.10/gallon -.05/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,923.0 +1.2%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $1,650.9/40 ft Box -1.1%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,014.8 -6.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 -10.0%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 75.7 +3.9%
- Rail Freight Carloads 278,566 -1.8%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,975,612 +42.3%
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 51.0% +5.0 percentage points
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -1.1%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value -3.0%
Leading Sectors
- Nuclear +6.9%
- Utilities +1.9%
- Networking +1.7%
- Coal +1.2%
- AI/Innovation +.7%
Lagging Sectors
- Gambling -6.1%
- Retail -6.1%
- Shipping -6.9%
- Oil Service -7.0%
- Homebuilding -7.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (25)
- PTGX, UAMY, ASPI, APLD, CRML, MP, UEC, USAR, NB, OKLO, PPTA, MLTX, IDR, ZYME, UUUU, LEU, ADUR, WYFI, HOND, ABVX, NESR, METC, HNRG, PEP and MENS
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (88)
- ASB, CNQ, KIO, JEF, NTES, PBR, KRRO, TGT, VIV, MAIN, ALC, LULU, WAL, DEI, MNSO, MNR, XRAY, VIPS, ASML, SCCO, AMZN, CCRN, MTZ, EDU, MTZ, TAL, PL, SIRI, AMKR, SBLK, TECK, TSM, CLB, MRP, LSPD, NMAX, ERO, MTDR, PLAB, IONQ, BWLP, LOGI, CYD, PDD, MELI, NTAP, MATX, HROW, EH, MATX, SWK, WB, FIVE, POWI, PGY, JD, BULL, DKNG, SM, COIN, DOCS, SIMO, ZETA, DLO, MOS, BIDU, BABA, TASK, CGNX, XPEV, PONY, SNDK, LMND, CXRCL, HSAI, CLPT, BILI, FLNC, ELF, FUTU, JKS, LEVI, GDS, KC and CSIQ
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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