Thursday, December 12, 2013

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Fed Taper Fears, Earnings Worries, Rising Long-Term Rates, Tech/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.41 -.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.07 +.55%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.14 +.77%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.94 -1.22%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 146.0 +5.04%
  • Total Put/Call .69 -28.12%
  • NYSE Arms .74 -50.53% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.97 -.40%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 98.21 +3.24%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.17 +.31%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 275.91 -2.39%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 17.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 256.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.90/Metric Tonne -.86%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.70 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.10 -1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +280 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail  sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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