Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on Fed Taper Worries, Rising Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Rising Yen, Transport/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.58 +.27%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.69 -.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.13 +1.0%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.79 +.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 117.0 +42.68%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -1.16%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -48.41% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.19 +1.23%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 99.54 +1.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.63 +2.73%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 303.82 +.59%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 19.0 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 255.0 +5 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $139.70/Metric Tonne +1.09%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.30 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.20 -.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.13 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -85 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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