Friday, December 20, 2013

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Lower Long-Term Rates, Seasonality, Investor Performance Angst, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.55 -4.24%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.34 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.13 +.77%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.79 -1.31%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 205.0 +48.55%
  • Total Put/Call .68 -8.11%
  • NYSE Arms 1.16 +28.16% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.47 -2.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.32 -.99%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.33 -1.65%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 267.50 -.49%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.75 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.25 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 251.0 -6.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $132.70/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.0 +7.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.0 +1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.16 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +115 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +16 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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