Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Earnings Concerns, Homebuilding/REIT Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.77 -.22%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 148.38 -.29%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.09 +.44%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.96 +1.76%
- ISE Sentiment Index 122.0 -.81%
- Total Put/Call .73 -14.12%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.15 -1.95%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.20 -7.46%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.34 -1.06%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 268.64 +.46%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 8.25 +1.5 basis points
- TED Spread 18.5 +.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
- Yield Curve 257.0 +2.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $132.70/Metric Tonne -.52%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 39.10 -5.0 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.4 +.9 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +9 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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