Friday, December 27, 2013

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Long-Term Rates, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Biotech/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.54 +1.70%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 150.62 +.62%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.26 +2.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.25 -1.79%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 90.0 -34.78%
  • Total Put/Call .69 +7.81%
  • NYSE Arms .53 -9.68% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.22 +2.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.53 +.34%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.55 -.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 273.76 +2.4%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 18.50 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.5 +6.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 261.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $134.0/Metric Tonne +1.44%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 49.4 unch.
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.0 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +152 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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