Thursday, January 23, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Increasing Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Financial/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In  Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.21 +10.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 147.33 -.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.15 +5.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.90 +1.24%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 -28.29%
  • Total Put/Call .86 +6.17%
  • NYSE Arms 1.60 +25.03% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.03 +3.78%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.99 +5.20%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 50.0 +4.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 320.0 +5.4%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.50 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 241.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $123.90/Metric Tonne +.32%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 62.50 -.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 5.2 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.22 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -361 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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